Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000254 0.000284 0.000316 0.000354 0.000395 0.000440 0.000492
2025-04-06 0.000212 0.000253 0.000300 0.000357 0.000425 0.000503 0.000599
2025-04-13 0.000181 0.000229 0.000285 0.000358 0.000449 0.000560 0.000705
2025-04-20 0.000156 0.000206 0.000269 0.000354 0.000466 0.000607 0.000801
2025-04-27 0.000142 0.000195 0.000266 0.000364 0.000500 0.000679 0.000934
2025-05-04 0.000128 0.000184 0.000259 0.000369 0.000526 0.000741 0.001059
2025-05-11 0.000116 0.000173 0.000253 0.000373 0.000550 0.000801 0.001185
2025-05-18 0.000105 0.000161 0.000243 0.000370 0.000563 0.000846 0.001293
2025-05-25 0.000097 0.000154 0.000238 0.000374 0.000587 0.000907 0.001429
2025-06-01 0.000088 0.000144 0.000229 0.000370 0.000598 0.000949 0.001538
2025-06-08 0.000081 0.000136 0.000223 0.000369 0.000612 0.000998 0.001659
2025-06-15 0.000075 0.000130 0.000218 0.000370 0.000629 0.001051 0.001792
2025-06-22 0.000069 0.000122 0.000210 0.000367 0.000640 0.001097 0.001921
2025-06-29 0.000065 0.000117 0.000207 0.000371 0.000664 0.001166 0.002095
2025-07-06 0.000060 0.000112 0.000203 0.000373 0.000684 0.001229 0.002262
2025-07-13 0.000056 0.000106 0.000196 0.000369 0.000693 0.001274 0.002401
2025-07-20 0.000054 0.000104 0.000198 0.000380 0.000730 0.001372 0.002645
2025-07-27 0.000051 0.000101 0.000196 0.000385 0.000757 0.001453 0.002862
2025-08-03 0.000048 0.000098 0.000194 0.000389 0.000781 0.001530 0.003079
2025-08-10 0.000045 0.000093 0.000188 0.000386 0.000791 0.001581 0.003249
2025-08-17 0.000043 0.000091 0.000186 0.000391 0.000816 0.001663 0.003487
2025-08-24 0.000040 0.000086 0.000181 0.000387 0.000824 0.001712 0.003660
2025-08-31 0.000037 0.000083 0.000177 0.000386 0.000837 0.001772 0.003863